Verified Track Record
48.5% hit rate.
Pick by pick.
33 graded player props. Every pick logged, every result verified. No cherry-picking, no survivorship bias.
Last 7 Days
Recent
| Player / Prop | Line | Pick | Result | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
May 6
| |||||
|
Paul George 3-Pointers |
2.5 | OVER | 5 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Karl-Anthony Towns Assists |
4.5 | OVER | 7 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Paul George Points |
15.5 | OVER | 19 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Apr 8
| |||||
|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points |
31.5 | OVER | 20 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
May 5
| |||||
|
Duncan Robinson Rebounds |
2.5 | OVER | 0 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
James Harden Assists |
6.5 | OVER | 7 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Cade Cunningham 3-Pointers |
2.5 | OVER | 2 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Mar 24
| |||||
|
Kon Knueppel 3-Pointers |
3.5 | OVER | 4 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
LaMelo Ball Rebounds |
4.5 | OVER | 6 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Maxime Raynaud Points |
17.5 | OVER | 16 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Malik Monk Assists |
4.5 | OVER | 14 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Apr 30
| |||||
|
Nikola Jokic Points |
26 | OVER | 28 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Jayson Tatum Points |
26.5 | OVER | 17 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
May 3
| |||||
|
Paolo Banchero Assists |
5.5 | OVER | 6 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Paolo Banchero 3-Pointers |
1.5 | OVER | 4 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Cade Cunningham Points |
29.5 | OVER | 32 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Mar 29
| |||||
|
Kevin Durant Points |
27.5 | OVER | 20 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points |
31.5 | OVER | 30 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
May 2
| |||||
|
Joel Embiid 3-Pointers |
1.5 | OVER | 1 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Derrick White Assists |
3.5 | OVER | 4 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
May 4
| |||||
|
OG Anunoby 3-Pointers |
2.5 | OVER | 2 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
OG Anunoby Assists |
1.5 | OVER | 1 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Karl-Anthony Towns Points |
19.5 | OVER | 17 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Mar 23
| |||||
|
Daniss Jenkins Assists |
6.5 | OVER | 8 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Tristan da Silva Points |
11.5 | OVER | 21 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Ausar Thompson Rebounds |
5.5 | OVER | 5 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
LeBron James Points |
18.5 | OVER | 12 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
May 1
| |||||
|
Anthony Black Points |
13.5 | OVER | 8 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Cade Cunningham 3-Pointers |
2.5 | OVER | 2 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Paolo Banchero Assists |
5.5 | OVER | 6 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
|
Mar 27
| |||||
|
Bennedict Mathurin 3-Pointers |
1.5 | OVER | 1 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Kawhi Leonard Points |
28.5 | OVER | 28 | Medium | ✗ Miss |
|
Andrew Nembhard Assists |
7.5 | OVER | 10 | Medium | ✓ Hit |
By Prop Type
| Prop Type | Picks Graded | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | 9 | 8 | 88.9% |
| 3-Pointers | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Rebounds | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Points | 13 | 4 | 30.8% |
By Confidence Level
Signal
| Confidence Tier | Picks Graded | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Medium (40–69) | 33 | 16 | 48.5% |
High-confidence picks are our strongest signals. The gap between tiers shows the model is actually discriminating — not just assigning random confidence.
Get these picks
before the games.
48.5% hit rate on 33 graded props. Delivered to your inbox every morning with full reasoning.
Start Free — $8.99/mo